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COVID-19 Leaderboards, Wed, Jul 1st

Resources

Growth-factor/Increase to 10x/1,000x Table
assumptions
GitHub source code for basic V.1 simulations

Articles

Ratings: E for Everyone; G for Government decision-makers; T for Technical.

--pending--

Today's Highest Growth Rates, Countries in Most Danger, Wed, Jul 1st

Country Growth, day/day Increase, day/day 10x in how many days
South Africa 104.87% 4.87% 48
Venezuela 104.60% 4.60% 51
Iraq 104.31% 4.31% 55
Argentina 103.89% 3.89% 60
India 103.29% 3.29% 71
Angola 102.91% 2.91% 80
Philippines 102.79% 2.79% 84
Bangladesh 102.70% 2.70% 86
Brazil 102.61% 2.61% 89
Nigeria 102.54% 2.54% 92
Egypt 102.31% 2.31% 101
Indonesia 102.27% 2.27% 103
Saudi Arabia 102.10% 2.10% 111
Mexico 102.04% 2.04% 114
US 101.76% 1.76% 132
Pakistan 101.70% 1.70% 137
Kuwait 101.46% 1.46% 159
D.R.Congo 101.42% 1.42% 163
Iran 101.12% 1.12% 207
Sweden 101.05% 1.05% 221
Russia 101.04% 1.04% 223
Australia 101.00% 1.00% 230
Hong Kong 100.94% 0.94% 247
Ethiopia 100.91% 0.91% 254
Qatar 100.91% 0.91% 255
U.A.E. 100.88% 0.88% 263
Poland 100.85% 0.85% 273
Turkey 100.65% 0.65% 357
Portugual 100.64% 0.64% 359
Japan 100.60% 0.60% 385
Singapore 100.51% 0.51% 456
Austria 100.41% 0.41% 560
South Korea 100.35% 0.35% 654
France 100.35% 0.35% 655
Canada 100.33% 0.33% 702
UK 100.25% 0.25% 925
Germany 100.25% 0.25% 925
Switzerland 100.25% 0.25% 937
Norway 100.15% 0.15% 1495
Belgium 100.12% 0.12% 1982
Thailand 100.12% 0.12% 1989
Spain 100.10% 0.10% 2302
Netherlands 100.08% 0.08% 2753
Italy 100.06% 0.06% 3692
Ireland 100.05% 0.05% 4628
Malta 100.05% 0.05% 4632
New Zealand 100.04% 0.04% 5274
China 100.01% 0.01% 16968
Taiwan 100.00% 0.00% SAFE
Vietnam 100.00% 0.00% SAFE

Today's Highest Current Deaths, Wed, Jul 1st

Country Deaths
US 130,798
Brazil 60,713
UK 43,906
Italy 34,788
France 29,861
Spain 28,363
Mexico 27,769
India 17,848
Iran 10,958
Belgium 9,754
Russia 9,536
Germany 9,061
Canada 8,615
Netherlands 6,113
Sweden 5,370
Turkey 5,150
China 4,634
Pakistan 4,395
Egypt 3,034
Indonesia 2,934
South Africa 2,749
Iraq 2,050
Switzerland 1,965
Bangladesh 1,888
Ireland 1,738
Saudi Arabia 1,698
Portugual 1,579
Poland 1,477
Argentina 1,351
Philippines 1,270
Japan 974
Austria 705
Nigeria 603
Kuwait 358
U.A.E. 316
South Korea 282
Norway 251
D.R.Congo 175
Qatar 115
Australia 104
Ethiopia 103
Thailand 58
Venezuela 54
Singapore 26
New Zealand 22
Angola 15
Malta 9
Taiwan 7
Hong Kong 7
Vietnam 0

Highest Forecast Future Deaths, Wed, Jul 1st

This assumes each country's current growth-rate situation continues as it is exactly at present. In particular, it assumes current levels, no or weak sheltering, and that strong sheltering has not reduced S, the number of uninfected people susceptible (potentially exposed) to infection next. We are still working on our strong sheltering model:
Country Forecast Deaths
US 143,931
Brazil 74,651
UK 43,712
Italy 34,748
France 29,904
Mexico 28,661
Spain 28,407
India 27,384
South Africa 13,549
Iran 11,085
Russia 10,960
Belgium 9,744
Germany 9,116
Canada 8,568
Netherlands 6,111
Pakistan 5,859
Sweden 5,707
Turkey 5,410
China 4,634
Bangladesh 4,490
Iraq 4,321
Egypt 3,659
Saudi Arabia 3,393
Indonesia 3,186
Argentina 3,141
Switzerland 1,964
Ireland 1,734
Portugual 1,623
Philippines 1,596
Poland 1,490
Japan 985
Nigeria 961
Austria 702
Kuwait 665
Qatar 487
U.A.E. 404
Venezuela 298
South Korea 282
Norway 249
D.R.Congo 198
Ethiopia 132
Australia 108
Singapore 60
Thailand 58
Vietnam 42
New Zealand 22
Angola 10
Malta 9
Taiwan 7
Hong Kong 7